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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| gaven-willwin | CORGII | RN1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (17–9, n=26) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | -$135K | $4.5M | $13.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #172 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (5 of 6 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 58% (26 of 45 open) | 63% (5 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 85% of 27 at avg 80¢, ROI +9% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 0% of 1) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 22% (won 50% of 6) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 74% (won 100% of 20) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | gaven-willwin | CORGII | RN1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Falcons $2.7K | Buccaneers $3.0K |