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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| gesst | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (217–159, n=376) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $43K | $5.8M | $11.0M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #254 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 4 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 87% (143 of 164 open) |
| Strongest topics | |||
| Weakest topic | Mentions −9 pts, n=48 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 42% of 340 at avg 42¢, ROI +3% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 52% (won 7% of 176) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 37% of 30) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 64% of 22) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 33% (won 95% of 112) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | gesst | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $84 | — | No $30K |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $166 | — | No $129 |