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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
gesstndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)60% (207–140, n=347)63% (1014–591, n=1605)47% (14701–16266, n=30967)
Consensus PnL$41K$4.8M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #412PM monthly #98PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus76% (19 of 25 open)72% (63 of 87 open)58% (53 of 91 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicMentions −10 pts, n=49NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won42% of 355 at avg 42¢, ROI +2%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢51% (won 7% of 182)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 36% of 33)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢7% (won 56% of 25)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up32% (won 95% of 115)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketgesstndb1RN1
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5No $357—
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $34KUnder $2.6K