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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpgesstndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)60% (215–142, n=357)63% (1095–632, n=1727)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$41K$4.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #9was PM monthly #412PM monthly #114PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus73% (140 of 192 open)85% (23 of 27 open)72% (71 of 98 open)57% (87 of 153 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15Mentions −10 pts, n=49NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%42% of 355 at avg 42¢, ROI +2%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)51% (won 7% of 182)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)9% (won 36% of 33)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)7% (won 56% of 25)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)32% (won 95% of 115)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

42 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpgesstndb1RN1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $17K——No $801
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.7K
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $11K——Under $752
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $10K——Under $2
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $7.1K——Yes $643
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens
Racing Club de Lens $6.8K——Olympique de Marseille $1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Schalke 04
FC Schalke 04 $4.5K——TSG 1899 Hoffenheim $152
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $859——Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446——Under $1.4K
Brown Bears vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Lehigh Mountain Hawks
Brown Bears $299——Lehigh Mountain Hawks $1.4K
FC Utrecht vs. NEC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.3K——No $2
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873——Yes $315
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471——No $524
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $755——Under $221
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837——Yes $60
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $7No $357—
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $334——Under $7
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 149.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $200——Under $46
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $109K——No $33K
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $28K——No $21K
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $8.3K——Over $25K
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $19K——Under $12K
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $20K——No $4.4K
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $13K——Over $10K
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $13K——No $10K
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $5.4K——Chiefs $14K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5)
same side · consensus CF Universidad de Chile
CD Cobresal $13K——CD Cobresal $3.5K
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
Club Atlético de Madrid $13K——Club Atlético de Madrid $1.4K
Will Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $5.6K——No $2.9K
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04 end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $4.0K——No $2.9K
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $6.2K——No $5
Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $4.9K——No $548
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
Yes $3.7K——Yes $1.7K
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $3.9K——Over $895
Will KKS Lech Poznan win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $4.3K——No $366
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $2.8K——No $217
WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova
same side · consensus Marta Kostyuk
Marta Kostyuk $309——Marta Kostyuk $2.6K
Knoxville: Andres Martin vs Jordan Lee
same side · consensus Andres Martin
Andres Martin $2.8K——Andres Martin $22
ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
No $2.7K——No $13
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 0 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
No $820——No $1.6K
Butler Bulldogs vs. Boise State Broncos
same side · consensus Boise State Broncos
Boise State Broncos $1.3K——Boise State Broncos $929
Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-11-09?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.4K——Yes $234
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Western Michigan Broncos
same side · consensus Western Michigan Broncos
Western Michigan Broncos $905——Western Michigan Broncos $732
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $1.4K——No $100
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.3K——Under $7
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $746——Under $468