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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
heyboy800RN1CORGIIBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)62% (1071–649, n=1720)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL-$14K$13.4M$4.5M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #975PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus50% (3 of 6 open)71% (15 of 21 open)25% (1 of 4 open)74% (72 of 97 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicTennis −3 pts, n=213———
Settled positions, side won59% of 1405 at avg 59¢, ROI 0%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 15% of 55)10% (won 56% of 2534)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢18% (won 40% of 258)22% (won 94% of 5497)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢53% (won 59% of 738)36% (won 99% of 8897)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 79% of 354)31% (won 100% of 7736)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketheyboy800RN1CORGIIBreakTheBank
Chiefs vs. Broncos
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $691——Chiefs $465K