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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
hithitfarBreakTheBank00gringo00primm
Record (consensus markets)60% (553–372, n=925)45% (526–640, n=1166)75% (6–2, n=8)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$4.6K$10.6M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #880PM monthly #1was PM monthly #19PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus55% (11 of 20 open)73% (72 of 98 open)no open consensus position63% (5 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won64% of 444 at avg 52¢, ROI +4%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 24% of 127)10% (won 85% of 53)0%5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 58% of 76)36% (won 98% of 192)0%41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 75% of 87)35% (won 99% of 187)100% (won 86% of 7)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up35% (won 94% of 154)20% (won 100% of 107)0%5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarkethithitfarBreakTheBank00gringo00primm
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $465K—Broncos $7.4K