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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| iWasEnough | RN1 | beachboy4 | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (7478–6494, n=13972) | 47% (13868–15346, n=29214) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 61% (495–320, n=815) |
| Consensus PnL | $37K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #335 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (70 of 103 open) | 94% (15 of 16 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 64% (7 of 11 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Esports −2 pts, n=303 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | Soccer ±0 pts, n=115 |
| Settled positions, side won | 50% of 1914 at avg 47¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 26% (won 17% of 507) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 15% (won 29% of 125) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 29% (won 38% of 559) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 34% (won 58% of 283) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 64% of 461) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 43% (won 69% of 354) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 92% of 387) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 7% (won 80% of 60) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | iWasEnough | RN1 | beachboy4 | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlottesville: Nicolas Mejia vs Murphy Cassone opposite sides · consensus Murphy Cassone | Nicolas Mejia $12 | — | — | Murphy Cassone $1.1K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar opposite sides · consensus Rafael Jodar | Rafael Jodar $10 | Alejandro Tabilo $59 | — | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone same side · consensus Luca Van Assche | Luca Van Assche $198 | Luca Van Assche $1.5K | — | — |