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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ifyoulovemejoseph00677primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)55% (309–251, n=560)53% (10–9, n=19)50% (1082–1097, n=2179)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)
Consensus PnL$32K$5.6M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #609PM monthly #3PM monthly #51PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus56% (18 of 32 open)no open consensus position83% (15 of 18 open)56% (84 of 150 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tech +12 pts n=91, ROI +9%
  • Politics +8 pts n=32, ROI +3%
  • NFL +3 pts n=46, ROI −1%
Weakest topicGeopolitics ±0 pts, n=86———
Settled positions, side won51% of 495 at avg 48¢, ROI +1%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢38% (won 14% of 187)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 51% of 77)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 59% of 79)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 91% of 152)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketifyoulovemejoseph00677primmRN1
Spread: Central Michigan (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
——Central Michigan $4.2KEastern Michigan $2.0K
Spread: UMass (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus UMass
——Ball State $2.8KUMass $1.2K
Spread: UMass (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
——Ball State $2.5KUMass $1.0K
Spread: UMass (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
——Ball State $900UMass $663
Spread: UMass (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
——Ball State $480UMass $457
Spread: Eastern Michigan (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
——Eastern Michigan $161Central Michigan $50
Spread: Central Michigan (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
——Central Michigan $6Eastern Michigan $4
Spread: Central Michigan (-14.5)
same side · consensus Central Michigan
——Central Michigan $4.9KCentral Michigan $3.3K
Spread: Ball State (-1.5)
same side · consensus UMass
——UMass $3.1KUMass $1.1K
Spread: Ball State (-2.5)
same side · consensus UMass
——UMass $3.0KUMass $804