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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | LightParadox | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 52% (812–758, n=1570) | 50% (1078–1087, n=2165) | 47% (13362–14874, n=28236) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.6M | $89K | $3.5M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #240 | PM monthly #48 | PM monthly #23 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 58% (44 of 76 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (117 of 174 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 392 at avg 70¢, ROI +35% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 6% (won 100% of 23) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 100% of 76) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 20% (won 100% of 78) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 55% (won 100% of 215) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | LightParadox | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti opposite sides · consensus Alexander Zverev | — | Lorenzo Musetti $304 | — | Alexander Zverev $32K |
| W50 Heraklion: Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst opposite sides · consensus Deborah Chiesa | — | Sarah Van Emst $2 | — | Deborah Chiesa $1.2K |
| Luanda: Isabella Shinikova vs Gina Feistel same side · consensus Gina Feistel | — | Gina Feistel $2.9K | — | Gina Feistel $1.6K |
| Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $54 | — | Under $4.2K |
| Chennai Open: Robin Montgomery vs Jeline Vandromme same side · consensus Robin Montgomery | — | Jeline Vandromme $3.0K | — | Jeline Vandromme $679 |
| Luanda: Franziska Sziedat vs Martyna Kubka same side · consensus Martyna Kubka | — | Martyna Kubka $599 | — | Martyna Kubka $2.4K |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $186 | — | Under $1.5K |
| Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | No $13 | — | No $1.1K |
| Kashima Antlers leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | No $169 | — | No $210 |
| W50 Heraklion: Ariana Geerlings vs Matilde Paoletti same side · consensus Matilde Paoletti | — | Matilde Paoletti $3 | — | Matilde Paoletti $350 |