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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677LimousinRN1
Record (consensus markets)53% (10–9, n=19)53% (853–757, n=1610)47% (13362–14874, n=28236)
Consensus PnL$5.6M$77K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #265PM monthly #23 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position46% (33 of 71 open)67% (117 of 175 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +46 pts n=88, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +24 pts n=382, ROI +32%
  • Tennis +28 pts n=28, ROI +32%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 535 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)7% (won 100% of 37)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 100% of 112)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)16% (won 100% of 88)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)56% (won 100% of 298)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677LimousinRN1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Maya Joint vs Maria Sakkari
opposite sides · consensus Maya Joint
—Maria Sakkari $2.3KMaya Joint $13K
Chennai Open: Robin Montgomery vs Jeline Vandromme
opposite sides · consensus Robin Montgomery
—Robin Montgomery $2.7KJeline Vandromme $679
Luanda: Isabella Shinikova vs Gina Feistel
opposite sides · consensus Gina Feistel
—Isabella Shinikova $31Gina Feistel $1.6K
M25 Heraklion: Jeremy Gschwendtner vs Michael Wright
opposite sides · consensus Jeremy Gschwendtner
—Michael Wright $4Jeremy Gschwendtner $56
Exact Score: Buriram United 0 - 0 Kashima Antlers?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $6No $7
Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $100Under $4.2K
Luanda: Franziska Sziedat vs Martyna Kubka
same side · consensus Martyna Kubka
—Martyna Kubka $977Martyna Kubka $2.4K
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $26Under $1.5K
Kashima Antlers leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $653No $210
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev
same side · consensus Daniil Medvedev
—Ignacio Buse $3Ignacio Buse $433