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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankjoseph00677LimousinRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (547–663, n=1210)53% (10–9, n=19)57% (711–547, n=1258)47% (14348–15981, n=30329)
Consensus PnL$11.0M$5.6M$144K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #2PM monthly #161PM monthly #18 + pinned
Sides with the consensus68% (77 of 114 open)no open consensus position51% (134 of 262 open)62% (115 of 186 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • NBA +46 pts n=89, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +24 pts n=266, ROI +27%
  • Tennis +26 pts n=18, ROI +36%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 405 at avg 69¢, ROI +35%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)12% (won 0% of 2)7% (won 100% of 27)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 100% of 84)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)65% (won 73% of 11)20% (won 100% of 80)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)18% (won 67% of 3)53% (won 100% of 214)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

58 on the same side, 51 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankjoseph00677LimousinRN1
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $18KYes $8.8K
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1No $17K
Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Arthur Gea
opposite sides · consensus Jan-Lennard Struff
——Jan-Lennard Struff $2.4KArthur Gea $13K
Costa do Sauipe: Filip Misolic vs Juan Pablo Varillas
opposite sides · consensus Filip Misolic
——Juan Pablo Varillas $250Filip Misolic $9.6K
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Villarreal CF
——Villarreal CF $1.1KParis Saint-Germain FC $8.2K
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 0 - 1 Aston Villa FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $12No $7.2K
FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $72Over $6.0K
Will LASK Linz win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $5.3KNo $129
Costa do Sauipe: Lucas Da Silva vs Lautaro Midon
opposite sides · consensus Lautaro Midon
——Lucas Da Silva $31Lautaro Midon $4.2K
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $695Under $2.6K
Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $476Yes $2.1K
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $26Over $2.5K
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $70No $2.4K
Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $167Yes $2.3K
Will Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $82No $2.1K
Will Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $307No $1.3K
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 2 FC Bayern München?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.5KYes $82
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 0 - 0 AS Roma?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $12No $1.4K
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 2 Aston Villa FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $2No $1.4K
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $837No $439
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $512Over $746
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 0 FC Bayern München?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1No $1.2K
Exact Score: Villarreal CF 3 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.0KYes $53
Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $950Under $5
Cali: Tamara Zidansek vs Bianca Andreescu
opposite sides · consensus Bianca Andreescu
——Tamara Zidansek $113Bianca Andreescu $837
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 0 FC Bayern München?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $111No $640
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $90No $644
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Norbert Gombos
opposite sides · consensus Dalibor Svrcina
——Dalibor Svrcina $693Norbert Gombos $24
FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $145Under $222
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: FC Bayern München O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $286Over $55
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $265Under $74
Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Manchester United FC
——AS Roma $202Manchester United FC $133
Cali: Rebeka Masarova vs Alice Tubello
opposite sides · consensus Alice Tubello
——Alice Tubello $299Rebeka Masarova $15
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: FC Bayern München O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $263Over $30
FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $26Over $266
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $236Under $34
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 3 FC Bayern München?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $18Yes $209
Will Watford FC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $134Yes $35
Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $111Under $57
Will FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $25No $137
Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Villarreal CF O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $5Over $135
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $103No $34
FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: Aston Villa FC O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $128Under $5
Exact Score: Villarreal CF 2 - 3 Paris Saint-Germain FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $5Yes $128
Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Paris Saint-Germain FC
——Villarreal CF $27Paris Saint-Germain FC $43
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $38Over $23
Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $24Over $32
Exact Score: FK Bodø/Glimt 3 - 3 Lille OSC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $6Yes $35
Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Burnley FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $7Over $19
Preston North End FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $12Under $1