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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677mildwindow27omnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)53% (10–9, n=19)40% (4885–7417, n=12302)50% (14961–15011, n=29972)47% (13283–14790, n=28073)
Consensus PnL$5.6M$57K$3.0M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #360PM monthly #61PM monthly #23 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (13 of 26 open)60% (80 of 134 open)44% (14 of 32 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Weather −3 pts, n=970——
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%42% of 4506 at avg 44¢, ROI −2%92% of 11470 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)54% (won 1% of 2428)8% (won 60% of 899)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)3% (won 41% of 116)21% (won 87% of 2444)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)4% (won 56% of 202)39% (won 95% of 4418)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)39% (won 96% of 1760)32% (won 99% of 3709)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677mildwindow27omnibus-076daaRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KOver $941
Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $65No $1.5K
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $73No $662
W100 Incheon: Yuki Naito vs Sara Saito
opposite sides · consensus Sara Saito
——Yuki Naito $9Sara Saito $225
W50 Heraklion: Antonia Stoyanov vs Alisa Oktiabreva
opposite sides · consensus Alisa Oktiabreva
——Alisa Oktiabreva $65Antonia Stoyanov $11
W100 Incheon: Naho Sato vs Jia-Jing Lu
opposite sides · consensus Jia-Jing Lu
——Naho Sato $41Jia-Jing Lu $15
W100 Incheon: Katie Swan vs Aoi Ito
same side · consensus Katie Swan
——Aoi Ito $40Aoi Ito $40