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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | morito181 | ndb1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 69% (533–239, n=772) | 66% (876–458, n=1334) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.6M | $1.0M | $4.1M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #189 + pinned | PM monthly #26 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 76% (119 of 156 open) | 74% (29 of 39 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Mentions −13 pts, n=19 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 71% of 920 at avg 70¢, ROI +4% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 22% (won 6% of 201) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 5% (won 43% of 47) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 6% (won 54% of 57) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 67% (won 96% of 615) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | morito181 | ndb1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | No $13K | No $1.8M | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House same side · consensus No | — | No $34K | No $1.4M | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | No $7.6K | No $94K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $6 | Yes $12K | — |