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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | ndb1 | omnibus-076daa | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 65% (892–472, n=1364) | 50% (15178–15196, n=30374) | 47% (13369–14864, n=28233) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.6M | $4.6M | $3.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #99 | PM monthly #60 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 78% (39 of 50 open) | 50% (58 of 116 open) | 62% (76 of 123 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 8% (won 60% of 874) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 21% (won 87% of 2384) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 38% (won 95% of 4296) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 99% of 3716) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | ndb1 | omnibus-076daa | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.6K | Over $1.5K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys opposite sides · consensus Quentin Halys | — | — | Tommy Paul $22 | Quentin Halys $1.2K |
| Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $3 | Under $169 |
| Spread: Lakers (-11.5) same side · consensus Kings | — | — | Lakers $619 | Lakers $3 |
| Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $28 | Under $151 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | — | Pelicans $4 | Pelicans $135 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | — | Pelicans $3 | Pelicans $125 |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $69 | Under $7 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) same side · consensus Suns | — | — | Suns $2 | Suns $6 |