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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677primmRN1TheMathGod
Record (consensus markets)45% (10–12, n=22)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)63% (115–69, n=184)
Consensus PnL$5.3M$3.6M$14.8M-$46K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #52PM monthly #33 + pinnedPM monthly #785
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)50% (2 of 4 open)60% (38 of 63 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic———MLB −11 pts, n=64
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%63% of 179 at avg 64¢, ROI −4%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)2% (won 33% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)8% (won 47% of 15)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)59% (won 53% of 105)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)31% (won 86% of 56)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677primmRN1TheMathGod
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.1M—No $40K—
Raiders vs. 49ers
same side · consensus 49ers
—49ers $40K—49ers $725
Spread: Bengals (-3.5)
same side · consensus Bengals
—Falcons $9.3KFalcons $5.1K—
Spread: Bengals (-4.5)
same side · consensus Bengals
—Falcons $1.6KFalcons $235—