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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
keeptheblueflagflyinghighbeachboy4RN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)45% (508–621, n=1129)68% (43–20, n=63)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$572K$5.8M$13.4M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #33was PM monthly #24PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus28% (11 of 39 open)100% (1 of 1 open)61% (19 of 31 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +52 pts n=308, ROI +50%
  • Soccer +48 pts n=45, ROI +45%
  • NHL +42 pts n=30, ROI +43%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won100% of 427 at avg 50¢, ROI +48%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 100% of 6)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 56% of 2534)0%
Entries 30–50¢55% (won 100% of 235)29% (won 56% of 62)22% (won 94% of 5497)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢38% (won 100% of 162)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8897)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 100% of 24)14% (won 86% of 29)31% (won 100% of 7736)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketkeeptheblueflagflyinghighbeachboy4RN1sainttroplay
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Celtics $2.3K—Magic $228—
Bratislava 2: Jonas Forejtek vs Ryan Seggerman
opposite sides · consensus Ryan Seggerman
Jonas Forejtek $854—Ryan Seggerman $294—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Celtics $534—Magic $161—
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $1.5K—Under $213—
Villa Maria: Felipe de Dios vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
same side · consensus Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
Felipe de Dios $287—Felipe de Dios $1—
Costa do Sauipe: Leonardo Storck Franca vs Jose Pereira
same side · consensus Leonardo Storck Franca
Jose Pereira $4—Jose Pereira $129—
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Celtics $22—Celtics $3—
Spread: Celtics (-3.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Magic $4—Magic $10—