Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
keeptheblueflagflyinghighlalalalalalallalalalalaRN1
Record (consensus markets)42% (116–157, n=273)no settled market68% (307–142, n=449)
Consensus PnL$237K—-$39K
Tracked asPM monthly #30PM monthly #741PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensus53% (10 of 19 open)no open consensus position60% (9 of 15 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
not computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%—100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 100% of 9)—1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢42% (won 100% of 63)—26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 61)—40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up12% (won 100% of 18)—33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketkeeptheblueflagflyinghighlalalalalalallalalalalaRN1
Knoxville: Lui Maxted vs Hynek Barton
opposite sides · consensus Hynek Barton
Lui Maxted $84—Hynek Barton $3.2K
Hersonissos 3: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Philip Henning
opposite sides · consensus Philip Henning
Radu Mihai Papoe $349—Philip Henning $500
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Miomir Kecmanovic
same side · consensus Arthur Rinderknech
Arthur Rinderknech $32K—Arthur Rinderknech $43K
Lima: Daniel Rincon vs Santiago De La Fuente
same side · consensus Daniel Rincon
Daniel Rincon $15K—Daniel Rincon $10K
Hersonissos 3: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly
same side · consensus Carlo Alberto Caniato
Gilles Arnaud Bailly $106—Gilles Arnaud Bailly $687