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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankkeeptheblueflagflyinghighlalalalalalallalalalalaRN1
Record (consensus markets)60% (12–8, n=20)43% (122–164, n=286)no settled market68% (310–145, n=455)
Consensus PnL$779K$199K—-$57K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #34PM monthly #735PM monthly #36 + pinned
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)64% (32 of 50 open)no open consensus position69% (18 of 26 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%—100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 69% of 36)6% (won 100% of 9)—1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 97% of 116)42% (won 100% of 63)—26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 99% of 124)40% (won 100% of 61)—40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 100% of 56)12% (won 100% of 18)—33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankkeeptheblueflagflyinghighlalalalalalallalalalalaRN1
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Toby Samuel
opposite sides · consensus Lorenzo Musetti
—Lorenzo Musetti $14K—Toby Samuel $400
W50 Chihuahua: Isabella Marton vs Demi Tran
opposite sides · consensus Demi Tran
—Isabella Marton $49—Demi Tran $459
Will CF Trival Valderas win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $216—Yes $32
Will CP Mijas-Las Lagunas win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $22—No $149
Sopo: Bianca Andreescu vs Rebeka Masarova
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $47K—Bianca Andreescu $8.2K
Lima: Elmer Moeller vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
same side · consensus Elmer Moeller
—Elmer Moeller $14K—Elmer Moeller $7.1K
Orleans: Hugo Grenier vs Kyrian Jacquet
same side · consensus Hugo Grenier
—Hugo Grenier $40—Hugo Grenier $361
Will CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $43—No $133