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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| legioncre | RN1 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 91% (10–1, n=11) | 47% (13854–15338, n=29192) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $40K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #775 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (4 of 7 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 88% (130 of 148 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 10 at avg 50¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 70% (won 100% of 7) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 20% (won 100% of 2) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | legioncre | RN1 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.1K | — | Yes $280K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $11K | — | Yes $172K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $2.8K | — | Yes $83K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $550 | — | Yes $30K | — |