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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
looppauBreakTheBankRN1primm
Record (consensus markets)99% (10724–37, n=10761)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$22K$10.6M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #799PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus78% (7 of 9 open)73% (72 of 98 open)56% (35 of 62 open)63% (5 of 8 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicOther Sports ±0 pts, n=483———
Settled positions, side won100% of 7520 at avg 100¢, ROI 0%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢0% (won 43% of 7)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢0% (won 0% of 3)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢0% (won 100% of 1)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up100% (won 100% of 7509)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketlooppauBreakTheBankRN1primm
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $524—Falcons $2.7KBuccaneers $3.0K
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $465K—Broncos $7.3K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $51KMagic $228—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $13KMagic $161—
Charlottesville: Jangjun Kim vs Ozan Baris
same side · consensus Ozan Baris
Ozan Baris $174—Ozan Baris $4.0K—