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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| manoamano | beachboy4 | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 68% (493–236, n=729) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 47% (13860–15343, n=29203) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.4K | $5.8M | $13.4M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #714 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (6 of 8 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 80% (4 of 5 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 388 at avg 62¢, ROI +45% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 94% of 17) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 23% (won 99% of 89) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 43% (won 99% of 167) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 98% of 115) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | manoamano | beachboy4 | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone opposite sides · consensus Mariano Navone | Luca Van Assche $98 | — | Mariano Navone $3 | — |