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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| midwicket72 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (6–5, n=11) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 62% (393–246, n=639) |
| Consensus PnL | $268K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #178 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 80% (12 of 15 open) | 85% (56 of 66 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 4 at avg 61¢, ROI +45% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 25% (won 100% of 1) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 50% (won 100% of 2) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 100% of 1) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | midwicket72 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $65 | Commanders $82K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $125 | Commanders $32K | — |