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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
mikesportsBreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
Record (consensus markets)62% (335–202, n=537)45% (526–640, n=1166)56% (101–79, n=180)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$2.3M$10.6M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #452PM monthly #1was PM monthly #373PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position73% (72 of 98 open)no open consensus position70% (7 of 10 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won98% of 379 at avg 58¢, ROI +36%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 73% of 30)10% (won 85% of 53)7% (won 75% of 8)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 100% of 71)36% (won 98% of 192)26% (won 93% of 29)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 185)35% (won 99% of 187)42% (won 96% of 47)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 93)20% (won 100% of 107)24% (won 96% of 27)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketmikesportsBreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $465K—Broncos $7.4K