← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| milkteaboba | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (35–17, n=52) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | -$821K | $5.8M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #127 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (4 of 12 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (72 of 98 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | NFL −6 pts, n=40 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 66% of 50 at avg 68¢, ROI −9% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 0% of 2) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 67% of 3) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 58% of 19) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 52% (won 77% of 26) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | milkteaboba | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Broncos opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Broncos $218K | — | — | Chiefs $465K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $4.0K | — | — | No $252K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No | No $955 | — | — | Yes $82K |
| Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.7K | — | — | Yes $12K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $13K | — | — | Yes $169K |
| Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | Yes $46 | — | — | Yes $56K |