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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb1NOO-YesprimmS-Works
Record (consensus markets)63% (1096–631, n=1727)38% (5–8, n=13)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$4.6M-$14K$3.6M$3.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #113was PM monthly #417PM monthly #44PM monthly #54
Sides with the consensus73% (74 of 101 open)50% (2 of 4 open)67% (2 of 3 open)75% (6 of 8 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicNFL −8 pts, n=147——Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%42% of 12 at avg 38¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 14% of 187)50% (won 17% of 6)5% (won 94% of 51)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 39% of 269)17% (won 50% of 2)41% (won 99% of 421)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 57% of 328)25% (won 67% of 3)49% (won 99% of 508)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up44% (won 94% of 622)8% (won 100% of 1)5% (won 100% of 47)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketndb1NOO-YesprimmS-Works
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
—T1 $928—Bilibili Gaming $225K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
—Bilibili Gaming $48K—Bilibili Gaming $153K