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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| ndb1 | RN1 | tetrose | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (987–572, n=1559) | 47% (14055–15545, n=29600) | 33% (144–294, n=438) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.2M | $14.8M | -$18K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #102 | PM monthly #29 + pinned | was PM monthly #721 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (100 of 134 open) | 50% (14 of 28 open) | 30% (18 of 60 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 56% of 301 at avg 42¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 46% (won 15% of 137) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 12% (won 80% of 35) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 16% (won 85% of 48) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 27% (won 99% of 81) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | RN1 | tetrose |
|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $53K | — | Yes $323 |