← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | tetrose | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (546–663, n=1209) | 66% (870–454, n=1324) | 47% (12761–14165, n=26926) | 53% (126–111, n=237) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $4.2M | $14.8M | $84K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #12 | PM monthly #23 + pinned | was PM monthly #721 |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (44 of 64 open) | 68% (25 of 37 open) | 67% (79 of 118 open) | 41% (7 of 17 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 56% of 301 at avg 42¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 46% (won 15% of 137) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 12% (won 80% of 35) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 16% (won 85% of 48) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 27% (won 99% of 81) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.