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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | RN1 | zerone777 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 66% (870–454, n=1324) | 47% (12761–14165, n=26926) | 38% (317–522, n=839) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.2M | $14.8M | $136K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #12 | PM monthly #23 + pinned | PM monthly #104 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (25 of 35 open) | 65% (60 of 93 open) | 76% (25 of 33 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — | Mentions −2 pts, n=47 |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 39% of 335 at avg 40¢, ROI +7% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 56% (won 1% of 189) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 2% (won 38% of 8) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 5% (won 61% of 18) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 36% (won 97% of 120) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | RN1 | zerone777 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $241K | — | No $24K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: Other same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.1K | — | Yes $2 |