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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb1omnibus-076daaRN1zerone777
Record (consensus markets)65% (876–462, n=1338)50% (14961–15011, n=29972)47% (13283–14790, n=28073)40% (357–539, n=896)
Consensus PnL$4.2M$3.0M$14.8M$163K
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #60PM monthly #23 + pinnedPM monthly #105
Sides with the consensus79% (19 of 24 open)57% (80 of 140 open)47% (17 of 36 open)79% (19 of 24 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNFL −10 pts, n=132——Mentions −2 pts, n=47
Settled positions, side won64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%92% of 11470 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%39% of 335 at avg 40¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 16% of 160)8% (won 60% of 899)10% (won 57% of 2606)56% (won 1% of 189)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 40% of 253)21% (won 87% of 2444)22% (won 94% of 5665)2% (won 38% of 8)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 57% of 310)39% (won 95% of 4418)36% (won 99% of 9185)5% (won 61% of 18)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 93% of 544)32% (won 99% of 3709)32% (won 100% of 8345)36% (won 97% of 120)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketndb1omnibus-076daaRN1zerone777
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Talia Gibson vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
opposite sides · consensus Aliaksandra Sasnovich
—Aliaksandra Sasnovich $180Talia Gibson $2.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.6KOver $941—
Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $65No $1.5K—
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $73No $662—
W100 Incheon: Katie Swan vs Aoi Ito
opposite sides · consensus Katie Swan
—Aoi Ito $38Katie Swan $281—
W100 Incheon: Naho Sato vs Jia-Jing Lu
opposite sides · consensus Jia-Jing Lu
—Naho Sato $99Jia-Jing Lu $154—
W100 Incheon: Yuki Naito vs Sara Saito
opposite sides · consensus Sara Saito
—Yuki Naito $9Sara Saito $228—
W35 Hamamatsu: Haruna Arakawa vs Yuzuha Negishi
opposite sides · consensus Haruna Arakawa
—Haruna Arakawa $71Yuzuha Negishi $105—
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $91—No $5
W50 Heraklion: Antonia Stoyanov vs Alisa Oktiabreva
opposite sides · consensus Alisa Oktiabreva
—Alisa Oktiabreva $65Antonia Stoyanov $19—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Katie Boulter
same side · consensus Claire Liu
—Katie Boulter $68Katie Boulter $19K—