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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1RN1zerone777
Record (consensus markets)52% (6492–5997, n=12489)63% (987–572, n=1559)47% (14055–15545, n=29600)28% (449–1172, n=1621)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$3.2M$14.8M$36K
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #102PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #104
Sides with the consensus73% (163 of 222 open)75% (100 of 134 open)52% (15 of 29 open)77% (10 of 13 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—Elections ±0 pts, n=212
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%43% of 609 at avg 44¢, ROI +15%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)50% (won 2% of 307)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)5% (won 29% of 31)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)7% (won 64% of 45)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)37% (won 96% of 226)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1RN1zerone777
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $14K—Over $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.1K—Over $2.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476—Under $1.3K—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $754—Yes $375—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $466—No $529—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $831—Yes $61—
Taipei: Carl Overbeck vs Kasidit Samrej
opposite sides · consensus Carl Overbeck
Carl Overbeck $288—Kasidit Samrej $35—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $14—Under $181—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7—Over $28—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Zeynep Sonmez
same side · consensus Zeynep Sonmez
Zeynep Sonmez $32K—Zeynep Sonmez $88K—
Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Zongyu Li
same side · consensus Anna Blinkova
Anna Blinkova $5.7K—Anna Blinkova $40K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K—
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Zhibek Kulambayeva
same side · consensus Mai Hontama
Mai Hontama $1.2K—Mai Hontama $11K—
Luanda: Kristina Kroitor vs Ksenia Zaytseva
same side · consensus Ksenia Zaytseva
Ksenia Zaytseva $2.8K—Ksenia Zaytseva $5.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $9—Over $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $102—Under $1.1K—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $116—Yes $161—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $174—Under $42—