← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | nehcnehc | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (1096–631, n=1727) | 62% (6089–3688, n=9777) | 50% (1248–1261, n=2509) | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.6M | -$726K | $3.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #108 | PM monthly #422 | PM monthly #46 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (74 of 100 open) | 78% (7 of 9 open) | 77% (10 of 13 open) | 67% (37 of 55 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
|
|
| Weakest topic | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | Politics −7 pts, n=125 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 63% of 9048 at avg 63¢, ROI 0% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 1% (won 18% of 92) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 26% (won 44% of 2313) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 40% (won 55% of 3629) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 87% of 3014) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | nehcnehc | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers vs. Bears opposite sides · consensus Bears | — | — | Buccaneers $1.3K | Bears $16K |
| Spread: Bears (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Bears $9 | Buccaneers $2.5K |
| Spread: Bears (-13.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Buccaneers $12K | Buccaneers $15K |
| Spread: Bears (-16.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Buccaneers $9.0K | Buccaneers $8.4K |
| Spread: Bears (-17.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Buccaneers $12K | Buccaneers $2.3K |
| Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 58.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $13K | Over $652 |
| Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $4.6K | — | Over $922 |
| Spread: Bears (-2.5) same side · consensus Bears | — | — | Bears $3.5K | Bears $404 |
| Spread: Bears (-14.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Buccaneers $87 | Buccaneers $2.4K |
| Spread: Bears (-3.5) same side · consensus Bears | — | — | Buccaneers $15 | Buccaneers $135 |