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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb1ojgprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)64% (1097–630, n=1727)41% (305–436, n=741)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL$4.8M$4.2K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #98was PM monthly #998PM monthly #52PM monthly #33 + pinned
Sides with the consensus74% (112 of 152 open)100% (3 of 3 open)63% (5 of 8 open)57% (27 of 47 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicNFL −8 pts, n=147———
Settled positions, side won64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%—99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 14% of 187)—5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 39% of 269)—41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 57% of 328)—49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up44% (won 94% of 622)—5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketndb1ojgprimmRN1
Bengals vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
—Bengals $982Bengals $36KFalcons $2.9K
Bengals vs. Falcons: O/U 52.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $605Over $4.3K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel
same side · consensus Toby Samuel
—Toby Samuel $316—Toby Samuel $31K
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
same side · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
—Carlos Alcaraz $1.1K—Carlos Alcaraz $17K
Spread: Bengals (-3.5)
same side · consensus Bengals
——Falcons $7.9KFalcons $1.6K