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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | plusti | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (1014–591, n=1605) | 94% (15–1, n=16) | 50% (1151–1158, n=2309) | 47% (14701–16266, n=30967) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.8M | $16K | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #93 | was PM monthly #883 | PM monthly #63 | PM monthly #37 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (67 of 93 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 76% (16 of 21 open) | 45% (52 of 115 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
|
|
| Weakest topic | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 15 at avg 53¢, ROI +49% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 0% | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 27% (won 100% of 4) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 73% (won 100% of 11) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | plusti | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa State vs. Baylor opposite sides · consensus Baylor | — | — | Iowa State $16K | Baylor $21K |
| Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.3K | — | Over $1.8K |
| Spread: LSU (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Alabama | — | — | Alabama $4.2K | LSU $39 |
| Spread: Delaware (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Delaware | — | — | Delaware $2.1K | Kennesaw State $1.6K |
| Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame: O/U 54.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.3K | Over $619 |
| Magic vs. Warriors opposite sides · consensus Warriors | — | Magic $2.0K | — | Warriors $477 |
| Penn State vs. Washington: O/U 45.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.5K | Over $405 |
| Colorado vs. Arizona State: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $565 | Under $500 |
| Spread: Iowa (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Northwestern | — | — | Iowa $390 | Northwestern $521 |
| Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame same side · consensus Notre Dame | — | — | Notre Dame $175K | Notre Dame $25K |
| Georgia vs. Ole Miss same side · consensus Georgia | — | — | Georgia $14K | Georgia $5.6K |
| Oregon vs. Ohio State: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.4K | Under $4.2K |
| Spread: Notre Dame (-6.5) same side · consensus Notre Dame | — | — | Notre Dame $55 | Notre Dame $2.5K |
| Spread: Kansas (-2.5) same side · consensus UCF | — | — | UCF $1.9K | UCF $3 |
| Spread: Florida (-3.5) same side · consensus Oklahoma | — | — | Oklahoma $34 | Oklahoma $16 |