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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| nicoco89 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (629–412, n=1041) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 48% (12984–14343, n=27327) |
| Consensus PnL | $107K | $3.5M | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (32 of 55 open) | no open consensus position | 85% (50 of 59 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Weather −10 pts, n=14 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 39% of 1188 at avg 34¢, ROI +5% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 55% (won 12% of 657) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 44% of 187) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 74% of 144) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 94% of 200) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | nicoco89 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $8 | — | No $202K | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $372 | — | No $118K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $54 | — | No $26K | — |