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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| nicoco89 | sainttroplay | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (629–412, n=1041) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | $107K | $4.4M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (31 of 55 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 85% (52 of 61 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Weather −10 pts, n=14 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 39% of 1188 at avg 34¢, ROI +5% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 55% (won 12% of 657) | 0% | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 44% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 74% of 144) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 94% of 200) | 0% | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | nicoco89 | sainttroplay | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $8 | — | — | No $202K |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $372 | — | — | No $166K |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $54 | — | — | No $26K |