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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
nonkenny90CORGII0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)91% (4664–457, n=5121)62% (393–245, n=638)56% (101–79, n=180)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$87K$4.5M$3.5M$5.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #959PM monthly #68was PM monthly #373was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus97% (112 of 116 open)25% (1 of 4 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • F1 +7 pts n=36, ROI +16%
  • Science +6 pts n=33, ROI +13%
  • NFL +3 pts n=40, ROI +1%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicFinance −3 pts, n=168——NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won93% of 5634 at avg 92¢, ROI +2%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 8% of 39)9% (won 92% of 36)7% (won 75% of 8)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢1% (won 30% of 43)56% (won 99% of 223)26% (won 93% of 29)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢2% (won 57% of 134)33% (won 100% of 133)42% (won 96% of 47)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up96% (won 95% of 5418)2% (won 100% of 7)24% (won 96% of 27)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.