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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| norrisfan | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 38% (335–536, n=871) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | -$462K | $5.8M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #936 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 73% (72 of 99 open) | 60% (6 of 10 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | NBA −10 pts, n=67 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 41% of 1035 at avg 42¢, ROI −1% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 11% of 291) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 39% of 358) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 25% (won 54% of 261) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 12% (won 88% of 125) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | norrisfan | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Broncos opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | — | — | Chiefs $465K | Broncos $6.8K |