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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
occasionalAwarenessbeachboy4RN1
Record (consensus markets)59% (271–186, n=457)68% (43–20, n=63)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$1.0M$5.8M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #989was PM monthly #24PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus48% (13 of 27 open)100% (1 of 1 open)54% (65 of 121 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicElections ±0 pts, n=130NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won56% of 439 at avg 54¢, ROI +1%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢36% (won 6% of 157)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 41% of 44)29% (won 56% of 62)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 64% of 39)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up45% (won 96% of 199)14% (won 86% of 29)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.