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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
oieshfn345CORGIIRN1beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)60% (297–200, n=497)62% (393–245, n=638)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL-$1.5M$4.5M$13.4M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #208PM monthly #68PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus94% (15 of 16 open)0% (0 of 4 open)54% (64 of 118 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +21 pts n=268, ROI −12%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic———NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won99% of 276 at avg 78¢, ROI −9%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 78% of 9)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 56% of 2534)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 91% of 11)56% (won 99% of 223)22% (won 94% of 5497)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 98% of 40)33% (won 100% of 133)36% (won 99% of 8897)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up78% (won 100% of 216)2% (won 100% of 7)31% (won 100% of 7736)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketoieshfn345CORGIIRN1beachboy4
Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $818—Yes $108—
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $429—Yes $102—
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $9.3K—No $26K—
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $3.8K—No $6.7K—
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $1.0K—No $4.1K—