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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| oieshfn345 | beachboy4 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (305–207, n=512) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | -$1.5M | $5.8M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #208 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (7 of 9 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 62% (16 of 26 open) | 81% (58 of 72 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 280 at avg 78¢, ROI −9% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 78% of 9) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 91% of 11) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 98% of 40) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 79% (won 100% of 220) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | oieshfn345 | beachboy4 | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $6.4K | — | No $2.2K | — |
| Will CF Cruz Azul vs. Club León FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $93 | — | No $912 | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $433 | Commanders $161K |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $125 | Commanders $32K |
| Will Club León FC win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $1.5K | — | No $172 | — |