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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
pantomimeBreakTheBankCORGII00gringo00
Record (consensus markets)56% (855–683, n=1538)45% (542–652, n=1194)62% (395–247, n=642)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$261K$10.6M$4.5M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #481 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #68was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus58% (7 of 12 open)89% (141 of 159 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNFL −3 pts, n=111———
Settled positions, side won51% of 1700 at avg 48¢, ROI +1%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢43% (won 10% of 729)10% (won 82% of 56)9% (won 92% of 36)0%
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 46% of 183)36% (won 98% of 198)56% (won 99% of 223)0%
Entries 50–70¢10% (won 65% of 175)35% (won 99% of 191)33% (won 100% of 133)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up36% (won 97% of 613)19% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketpantomimeBreakTheBankCORGII00gringo00
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $7Yes $30K——