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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
pleasent242beachboy4BreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)52% (636–576, n=1212)68% (43–20, n=63)45% (526–640, n=1166)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$76K$5.8M$10.6M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #476was PM monthly #24PM monthly #1PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)72% (73 of 102 open)67% (14 of 21 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicNHL −12 pts, n=30NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won60% of 1059 at avg 49¢, ROI +13%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 25% of 101)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 85% of 53)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢37% (won 58% of 391)29% (won 56% of 62)36% (won 98% of 192)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢47% (won 64% of 501)54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 187)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 91% of 66)14% (won 86% of 29)20% (won 100% of 107)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketpleasent242beachboy4BreakTheBankprimm
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Bills $51KRavens $696
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Bills $2.1KRavens $376
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
——Cardinals $3.0KCardinals $1.1K