← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| poposub | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 36% (579–1037, n=1616) | 48% (12899–14013, n=26912) | 45% (537–647, n=1184) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $12K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #384 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 43% (3 of 7 open) | 67% (6 of 9 open) | 76% (74 of 98 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=10 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 66% of 1156 at avg 61¢, ROI −6% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 13% of 326) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 59% of 137) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 71% of 84) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 53% (won 96% of 609) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | poposub | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $313 | — | Yes $37K | — |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $853 | — | No $23K | — |