← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| poposub | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 36% (579–1038, n=1617) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (535–643, n=1178) | 50% (945–947, n=1892) |
| Consensus PnL | $12K | $5.8M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #384 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 43% (3 of 7 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 71% (82 of 116 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=10 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 66% of 1156 at avg 61¢, ROI −6% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 13% of 326) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 59% of 137) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 71% of 84) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 53% (won 96% of 609) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | poposub | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $279 | — | Yes $38K | — |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $877 | — | No $24K | — |