Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
primmBreakTheBankbeachboy4
Record (consensus markets)50% (941–941, n=1882)45% (526–640, n=1166)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$3.4M$10.6M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #181PM monthly #1was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus60% (25 of 42 open)72% (79 of 110 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 93% of 43)10% (won 85% of 53)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢41% (won 99% of 366)36% (won 98% of 192)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 99% of 433)35% (won 99% of 187)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 41)20% (won 100% of 107)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketprimmBreakTheBankbeachboy4
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $696Bills $51K—
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
Jets $284Raiders $24K—
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $376Bills $2.1K—
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
Bills $395Bills $378K—
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
Cardinals $1.1KCardinals $3.0K—