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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| primm | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.4M | $5.8M | $10.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #181 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (17 of 27 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 72% (76 of 105 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 93% of 43) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 41% (won 99% of 366) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 99% of 433) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 100% of 41) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | primm | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $696 | — | Bills $51K | — |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $284 | — | Raiders $24K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $376 | — | Bills $2.1K | — |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | Bills $395 | — | Bills $378K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | Cardinals $1.1K | — | Cardinals $3.0K | — |