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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
primmsainttroplaybeachboy4omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)50% (941–941, n=1882)71% (10–4, n=14)68% (43–20, n=63)50% (14291–14380, n=28671)
Consensus PnL$3.4M$4.4M$5.8M$3.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #181was PM monthly #11was PM monthly #24PM monthly #27
Sides with the consensus52% (11 of 21 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)52% (34 of 65 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%91% of 10843 at avg 60¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 93% of 43)0%3% (won 17% of 6)8% (won 59% of 873)
Entries 30–50¢41% (won 99% of 366)50% (won 100% of 5)29% (won 56% of 62)21% (won 86% of 2319)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 99% of 433)50% (won 100% of 5)54% (won 51% of 115)38% (won 94% of 4154)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 41)0%14% (won 86% of 29)32% (won 99% of 3497)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketprimmsainttroplaybeachboy4omnibus-076daa
Spread: Rams (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rams
Rams $1.0K——Chargers $304
Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $7——Under $257
Chiefs vs. Broncos
same side · consensus Chiefs
Broncos $6.8K——Broncos $687
Spread: Dolphins (-3.5)
same side · consensus Patriots
Patriots $1.3K——Patriots $70
Chargers vs. Rams
same side · consensus Rams
Chargers $1.1K——Chargers $64