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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| qidao001 | RN1 | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 89% (1382–171, n=1553) | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) |
| Consensus PnL | $10K | $14.9M | $3.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #966 | PM monthly #31 + pinned | PM monthly #60 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (9 of 15 open) | 58% (33 of 57 open) | 43% (3 of 7 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 52% of 150 at avg 46¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 5% of 20) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 38% (won 49% of 57) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 67% of 73) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | qidao001 | RN1 | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers vs. Bears opposite sides · consensus Bears | Buccaneers $3 | Bears $20K | — |
| Spread: Bears (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $8 | Bears $11K | — |
| Spread: Bears (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Bears | Buccaneers $4 | Bears $5.8K | — |
| Spread: Bears (-13.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $46 | Buccaneers $16K | — |
| Spread: Bears (-16.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $18 | Buccaneers $9.2K | — |
| Spread: Bears (-9.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $4 | Buccaneers $3.0K | — |
| Spread: Bears (-17.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $25 | Buccaneers $2.6K | — |
| Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 58.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $24 | Over $652 | — |
| Spread: Bears (-4.5) same side · consensus Bears | Buccaneers $2 | Buccaneers $616 | — |
| Spread: Bears (-2.5) same side · consensus Bears | Bears $7 | Bears $400 | — |