← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | qidao001 | RN1 | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (1096–631, n=1727) | 89% (1382–171, n=1553) | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.6M | $10K | $14.9M | $3.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #108 | PM monthly #966 | PM monthly #31 + pinned | PM monthly #60 |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (74 of 100 open) | 73% (11 of 15 open) | 60% (36 of 60 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 52% of 150 at avg 46¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 13% (won 5% of 20) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 38% (won 49% of 57) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 67% of 73) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 0% | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | qidao001 | RN1 | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelicans vs. Clippers opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | — | Clippers $32K | Pelicans $7.5K |
| Spread: Bears (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Buccaneers $8 | Bears $11K | — |
| Spread: Bears (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Bears | — | Buccaneers $4 | Bears $6.0K | — |
| Buccaneers vs. Bears same side · consensus Bears | — | Bears $10 | Bears $20K | — |
| Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $38 | Over $11K | — |
| Spread: Bears (-16.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | Buccaneers $18 | Buccaneers $9.2K | — |
| Spread: Bears (-9.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | Buccaneers $4 | Buccaneers $2.7K | — |
| Spread: Bears (-17.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | Buccaneers $25 | Buccaneers $2.6K | — |
| Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 58.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $24 | Over $652 | — |
| Spread: Bears (-4.5) same side · consensus Bears | — | Buccaneers $2 | Buccaneers $544 | — |
| Spread: Bears (-2.5) same side · consensus Bears | — | Bears $7 | Bears $411 | — |