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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpqidao001RN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)89% (1382–171, n=1553)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$10K$14.9M$3.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #16PM monthly #966PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #60
Sides with the consensus71% (84 of 119 open)73% (11 of 15 open)57% (33 of 58 open)33% (1 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15——Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%52% of 150 at avg 46¢, ROI +1%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 5% of 20)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)38% (won 49% of 57)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 67% of 73)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)0%33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

30 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpqidao001RN1S-Works
Pelicans vs. Clippers
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Pelicans $4.4K—Clippers $32KPelicans $7.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.7K—
Spread: Bears (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Buccaneers $8Bears $10K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K—
Spread: Bears (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bears
—Buccaneers $4Bears $5.4K—
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 239.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $4.5K—Over $106—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $859—Over $3.0K—
Will Club León FC vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $3.7K—No $45—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7—
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 240.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.9K—Over $84—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446—Under $1.4K—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873—Yes $315—
Spread: Heat (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Heat $200—Kings $958—
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Pelicans $269—Clippers $778—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471—No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837—Yes $60—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272—No $11—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $6—Over $29—
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff $17K—Coco Gauff $58K—
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh
Keisuke Saitoh $737—Keisuke Saitoh $24K—
Buccaneers vs. Bears
same side · consensus Bears
—Bears $10Bears $20K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K—
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
Patrick Zahraj $5.9K—Patrick Zahraj $5.8K—
Spread: Bears (-16.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
—Buccaneers $18Buccaneers $9.2K—
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $4.3K—Over $3.4K—
Brisbane 3: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Chase Ferguson
same side · consensus Sam Ryan Ziegann
Sam Ryan Ziegann $797—Sam Ryan Ziegann $5.6K—
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
Clippers $2.3K—Clippers $1.8K—
Spread: Heat (-12.5)
same side · consensus Kings
Kings $2.9K—Kings $842—
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 233.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.5K—Under $570—
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $2.7K—Over $256—
Spread: Bears (-9.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
—Buccaneers $4Buccaneers $2.8K—
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.9K—Over $930—
Spread: Bears (-17.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
—Buccaneers $25Buccaneers $2.6K—
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
Clippers $1.5K—Clippers $810—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.3K—Over $204—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95—Under $1.1K—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20—
Spread: Bears (-4.5)
same side · consensus Bears
—Buccaneers $2Buccaneers $712—
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 58.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $24Over $652—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173—Yes $240—
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
Pelicans $252—Pelicans $146—
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Kaylan Bigun
same side · consensus Giles Hussey
Giles Hussey $370—Giles Hussey $24—
Spread: Bears (-2.5)
same side · consensus Bears
—Bears $7Bears $378—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $177—Under $41—
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
No $4—No $26—